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Areas of Expertise (8)

Small Business Lending

Bank Mergers and Acquisitions


Business Conditions

Consumer Spending

Unemployment And Inflation

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy And Interest Rates

Credit Union Failures And Losses

Education (2)

Northwestern University: PhD, Economics

Binghamton University: BA, Economics and History

Honors & Awards (3)

Earl F. Cheit Award for Excellence in Teaching


Earl F. Cheit Award for Excellence in Teaching


Earl F. Cheit Award for Excellence in Teaching


Selected External Service & Affiliations (3)

  • Member, Advisory Board: North American Economics and Finance Association
  • Treasurer and Member, Board of Directors, Cal State 9 Credit Union
  • Economic and financial consulting

Positions Held (1)

Positions Held

1978 – present, Professor, Haas School of Business
2016 – present, Member, Financial Economists Roundtable
2014 – 2016, Member, Board of Directors, VirtualBeam, Inc.
2012 – present, Member, Board of Directors, Finance Scholars Group
2012 – 2015, Chair, Economic Analysis and Policy Group, Haas School of Business
2003 – present, Fellow, Wharton Financial Institutions Center
1999 – 2001, Chief Economist, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Washington, DC
1991 – 1992, Economist, Federal Reserve Board
1990 – 1991, Senior Economist, President’s Council of Economic Advisers

Media Appearances (9)

Are recessions inevitable?

Marketplace  online


Prof. James Wilcox said that knowing recessions will probably happen isn't really that useful. “The word ‘cycle, ’ I think, conjures up the idea of something rather rhythmic, and therefore predictable,” Wilcox said. “And that’s not what we have.”

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Dow loses 800 points after bond market flashes recession warning

Fox KTVU  online


Investors are feeling pessimistic, but Prof. James Wilcox says Wednesday's inversion is not necessarily a red flag because long-term interest rates have been falling for some time. "The U.S. economy remains very strong," he said.

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How Pressuring The Fed Could Backfire For Trump

KCBS Radio  radio


In a live interview on Monday, Prof. James Wilcox, chair of the Haas Economic Analysis & Policy Group, said the Fed pays more attention to economic fundamentals than to movement in the stock market, and jealously guards its policy independence. "I think no Fed chairman, especially a recently installed Fed chairman, would want to be regarded as having bent to the pressures from the White House."

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A look at the skyrocketing stock market and its sustainability

KTVU  online


Jim Wilcox, Professor of Economics at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business, says our low unemployment economy is strong, stable, broadly based and showing no signs of a bubble...

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Help workers hurt by 'tech tilt' via tech-friendly tax reform

The Hill  online


The same sector of the economy that has displaced and discouraged millions of American workers should get an extra tax break — for making investments to boost the productivity of workers who are on the downside of the “tech tilt.”

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Trump Shakes Up fed, Hails Tax Overhaul;

CNN  radio


"So much of a spectacular person that she wasn't reappointed. She could have served a second term if the president had wanted it..." James Wilcox is professor of economics and finance at the Haas School of Business at the University of California. A close friend of chair Yellen. They enjoyed the occasional Chinese meal together. A little earlier he told me

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Trump Wants Faster Growth. The Fed Isn’t So Sure.

The New York Times  print


"The thing that makes it relatively easy for the Fed is that fiscal policy usually takes a long time,” said James A. Wilcox, an economist at the University of California, Berkeley. “Financial markets don’t wait for all of that to happen, of course, but the actual spending and employment effects — they usually take a while to show up..."

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Crude oil prices plummet to 13-year low

KTVU  online


"These really low oil prices have damaged these energy companies," said economist Jim Wilcox, a UC Berkeley Haas Business School professor..."

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Op-Ed: A Way to Make People Buy Homes Again

The New York Times  


MANY potential homebuyers who can afford to buy are instead waiting, worried that home prices will continue to decline. In its most recent quarterly survey, Fannie Mae reported a continuing decline in the fraction of renters and homeowners who think buying a home is a safe investment.

But there is a way to buy a home with less risk to one’s hard-earned cash: a down-payment protection plan.

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Selected Papers & Publications (5)

Government Guarantees of Loans to Small Businesses: Effects on Banks’ Risk-Taking and Non-Guaranteed Lending Journal of Financial Intermediation

James A.Wilcox, Yukihiro Yasuda


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The Home Purchase Sentiment Index: A New Housing Indicator Business Economics

James A. Wilcox


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Regime Shifts in Real Estate Markets: Time-Varying Effects of the U.S. and Japanese Economies on House Prices in Hawaii Real Estate Economics

James A. Wilcox, John R. Krainer.


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A Way to Make People Buy Homes Again The New York Times

James A. Wilcox


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Underwriting, Mortgage Lending, and House Prices: 1996 – 2008 Business Economics,

James A. Wilcox


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Teaching (1)