Livia Paggi

Managing Director | J.S. Held LLC

London, England, UNITED KINGDOM

Political Risk & ESG Advisor | Global Business Strategist | Eurasia Market Expert | On Air Global Political Expert

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Biography

Livia manages Political Risk, ESG, and Business Intelligence services.

Livia advises multinational clients on doing business successfully in some of the world’s most challenging markets. Livia advises senior leaders from government, business and the United Nations on the implications of global political, security and socio-economic developments.

Over the past decade, Livia has developed expertise in Russia and the wider Eurasia region. Livia's recent work includes leading risk assessments for various international development banks, including the World Bank, among others, pre-IPO advisory work on political risk and ESG issues for a gold mining company with assets across the African continent, advising numerous extractive companies on their joint ventures in emerging markets, especially on negotiations with the host government, resource nationalism, and the local regulatory environments, conducted due diligence for Private Equity funds in various emerging markets, political risk and market entry studies for tech clients in the EMEA region including providing government relations and policy support and advising oil and gas companies on US/EU sanctions risks in Russia.

Livia is a sought-after speaker and regularly provides commentary on global political trends for the media, including for the BBC, Bloomberg TV, CNN, and the Financial Times. Livia is the recipient of numerous awards for her work. Most recently, she was named by Management Today as one of Britain’s top women in business under 35 and Bloomberg TV named her as one of the top female foreign policy commentators.

She is fluent in English, Italian, French, and Russian.

Industry Expertise (4)

Government Relations

Financial Services

Business Services

Political Organization

Areas of Expertise (6)

Foreign Policy

Global Political Trends

Political Risk Analysis

Private Equity

Market Entry

World Bank

Accomplishments & Recognitions (6)

Named as one of the top female foreign policy commentators (professional)

2023 Chamber & Partners Crisis & Risk Management - Political Risk Band 1 Bloomberg TV

Named as one of Britain’s top women in business under 35 (professional)

Jun 2020 Management Today

Bloomberg New Voices Initiative (professional)

Oct 2019 Bloomberg TV

Young Leader (professional)

Jan 2017 Council for the United States and Italy (CONSIUSA)

Alfa Fellowship (professional)

Jan 2012 Alfa Bank

Harriman Institute Award (professional)

Jan 2007 Columbia University

Media Appearances (7)

Putin’s Power Is Absolute, Says Held’s Paggi

Bloomberg tv

2024-02-23

Livia Paggi, Managing Director at consulting firm J.S. Held joined Daybreak Europe to discuss the fallout from the death of prominent Russia opposition leader Alexei Navalny on Monday, February 19.

Diplomacy Behind the Scenes to Avoid Escalation: Paggi

Bloomberg tv

2023-10-16

Livia Paggi, J.S. Held Global Investigations Managing Director, discusses the potential impact of the Israel-Hamas war on energy markets, the Ukraine/Russia war, and businesses operating in the region. She speaks to Bloomberg's Anna Edwards, Tom Mackenzie and Mark Cudmore on "Bloomberg Markets Today."

West puts energy deals before plight of economist jailed in Azerbaijan, says family

Financial Times online

2023-11-15

Livia Paggi, head of political risk at the JS Held consultancy, said: “His strength lies in the fact that he’s a trained economist. He is able to read budget documents, introduce transparency and hold the government accountable.”

Prigozhin's Insurrection Creates Headaches for Russia-China Alliance, Experts Say

The Moscow Times online

2023-06-25

“This cements Russia’s status as a junior partner,” said Livia Paggi, the managing director and head of political risk at J.S. Held. “Russia has already become completely dependent on China, for instance on oil and gas sales. It will be even more so now — there’s no doubt about it.”

FDI cost of Russia’s assault on Ukraine

Business Insider online

2022-02-25

“There will be a major operational hurdle to be able to conduct business [in Russia moving forward]. It’s very difficult to understand how financial payments will be processed [if major Russian banks are sanctioned],” says Livia Paggi, the head of the geopolitical risk at GPW Group.

Livia Paggi, GPW: Managing during Covid and retaining talent

Management Today online

2021-03-30

The title of global political risk consultant tends to conjure a certain image, says Livia Paggi, head of political risk at GPW [pictured right]. One of briefings in smoke-filled rooms from former soldiers and intelligence officers. Cutting through that image, in what has also traditionally been seen as a men’s industry, has been a challenge since she joined the business in 2013 as a junior analyst.

Azerbaijan devalues currency by one-third amid oil price tumble