Nicholas Mangee

Associate Professor of Finance Georgia Southern University

  • Statesboro GA

Nicholas Mangee is an associate professor of finance in the Parker College of Business at Georgia Southern University.

Contact

Georgia Southern University

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Biography

Nicholas Mangee is an associate professor of finance in the Parker College of Business at Georgia Southern University – Armstrong Campus in Savannah, Georgia, and a research associate for the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) program on Knightian Uncertainty Economics (KUE) for financial markets. He has published in the Journal of Behavioral Finance, Journal of Economics and Finance, Economics: E-Journal, Journal of Economic Methodology and Economics Bulletin. His research focuses on testing the implications of macro-finance models based on KUE by investigating the relative roles and dynamics between market fundamentals, psychology, and social context in explaining instability in stock price fluctuations. In 2017, he received the Outstanding Faculty Award for his College. Mangee earned his doctoral degree at the University of New Hampshire. Research from his dissertation has received attention from financial press outlets such as The Economist and Bloomberg News and has been featured prominently in the book Beyond Mechanical Markets: Asset Price Swings, Risk, and the Role of the State—a 2011 finalist for the Paul Samuelson Prize. He has also written over 50 columns on current economic and financial events for the Savannah Morning News city paper.

Areas of Expertise

History of Thought
Textual Analysis
Behavioral Finance
Financial Time Series
Knightian Uncertainty

Accomplishments

Outstanding Faculty Award

2016/17

College of Liberal Arts, Armstrong State University

Elizabeth Bogan Award for Highest Scholarship

2006/07

Dept. of Econ., Univ. of New Hampshire

Outstanding Graduate Student Teaching Award

2008/09

Dept. of Economics, Univ. of New Hampshire

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Education

Certificate

University of Copenhagen

Advanced Macroeconometrics

2012

Ph.D.

University of New Hampshire

Economics with Cognate in College Teaching

2011

M.A.

University of New Hampshire

Economics

2007

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Affiliations

  • Omicron Delta Epsilon, International Honors Society for Economics

Media Appearances

Mangee: Dodd-Frank tough to dismantle

Savannah Morning News  online

2017-02-10

The stringencies of financial regulation put into law following the global financial crisis, commonly known as the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010, are being explicitly targeted for repeal by the new administration.

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Articles

Expectations Concordance and Stock Market Volatility: Knightian Uncertainty in the Year of the Pandemic

Journal of Risk and Financial Management

This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when novel events that are each somewhat unique cause unforeseeable change and Knightian uncertainty in the process driving outcomes. Expectations concordance measures the degree to which KU events are associated with directionally similar expectations of future returns.

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How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns

Journal of Behavioral Finance

We reveal a novel channel through which market participants’ sentiment influences how they forecast stock returns: their optimism (pessimism) affects the weights they assign to fundamentals. Our analysis yields four main findings. First, if good (bad) “news” about dividends and interest rates coincides with participants’ optimism (pessimism), the news about these fundamentals has a significant effect on participants’ forecasts of future returns and has the expected signs (positive for dividends and negative for interest rates).

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A New Explanation for Samuelson’s Dictum and the Stock Market: Novel Events and Knightian Uncertainty

Series of Unsurprising Results in Economics

Samuelson’s Dictum argues that aggregate stock markets do not convincingly reflect information on fundamentals, such as dividends or earnings, and are, thus, inefficient in setting prices. By contrast, firm-level stock prices share a much closer connection with fundamentals and are, therefore, deemed relatively efficient.

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