Kurdish independence referendum could lead to chaos in region, expert saysSeptember 25, 20171 min read
A historic independence referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan could lead to civil unrest or war if successful, cautions Dr. Craig Albert, associate professor of Political Science at Augusta University.
The Iraqi Parliament has already ordered troops to gather in the region under the guise of “protecting citizens. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has touted economic sanctions to protest the vote, and will likely use military measures.
If Kurdistan overwhelmingly votes for independence—an event Albert says is likely—a worst-case scenario could see the beginnings of an Iraqi civil war or a Turkish push into Iraq to put down Iraqi Kurds.
If the vote is not recognized, Albert said, the region will likely see an increase in Kurdish acts of terror or guerilla warfare.
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Craig Albert Director of the Master of Arts in Intelligence and Security Studies
Dr. Craig Albert focuses on national security, cyberconflict, ethnic conflict, and political thought.