Inverted yields and a potential recession – are rocky times ahead?

Inverted yields and a potential recession – are rocky times ahead? Inverted yields and a potential recession – are rocky times ahead?

August 27, 20191 min read
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Everything seemed to be going swell. Unemployment was low, the number of jobs was high and the economy seemed to be roaring.


Until last week.


Yields on two-year and 10-year Treasury notes inverted early Wednesday, a market phenomenon that shows investors want more in return for short-term government bonds than they are for long-term bonds. It's the first time that has happened since the Great Recession and it can be an indication that investors have lost faith in the soundness of the U.S. economy. - USA Today, Aug. 14, 2019


Inversions are usually the canary in the coal mine when it comes to recessions. In fact, this very same incident has occurred in the previous nine recessions since the mid-1950s.


  • How bad will this recession be?
  • Is there any way to reverse course?
  • Is this simply an American issue or will it spread globally?
  • Compared to 2008 – how bad of a situation are we in?


There is a lot of speculation and questions being asked. If you are a reporter covering the economy and need an expert to help guide you through the situation and provide accurate information on the state of America’s economy – that’s where we can help.


Dr. Simon Medcalfe is a highly regarded finance expert and the Cree Walker Chair in the Hull College of Business at Augusta University. Medcalfe is available to speak with media regarding the economy and its outlook – simply click on his icon to arrange an interview.





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  • Simon Medcalfe
    Simon Medcalfe Associate Professor of Finance

    Dr. Simon Medcalfe is a highly-regarded finance expert and the Cree Walker Chair in the Hull College of Business.

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